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Cake day: December 6th, 2024

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  • I think it’s broader than that:

    You also see plenty of people delegating their sense of Right and Wrong to, for example, political leaders.

    A great example is people who would look at what’s going on in Gaza putting aside politics and going “yeah, knowingly killing tens of thousands of children is objectivelly a bad thing” but as soon as their favorite political leaders start opinating about it, all of the sudden they’re all “I don’t believe that’s a Genocide” (even after the UN officially deemed it a Genocide) and claiming that people criticizing Israel are anti-semites.

    I’ve seen it happen in the country were I live - people who previously admitted that what was happening was bad, suddenly when their favored rightwing politicians took an interest in it and openly sided with Israel, start voicing quite different opinions which ape what those politicians are saying. You get further confirmation that they’re driven by politics when they start framing the whole thing with local politics - which has pretty much zero influence on the actions in Gaza - hence that framing means they’re looking at it through the eyes of local tribalism rather than using a personal sense of Right and Wrong.

    As I see it, the problem isn’t specifically Religion or Politics, it’s people with high Tribalism (hence easilly swayed by the leaders of their tribes, such as religious or political tribes) and lacking or with a very weak moral compass.


  • It’s nice to see an actually study confirming what I have been saying for years now.

    The only surprise for me is that this is happening in places like Germany which have higher salaries rather than only places like my native Portugal which for Europe has shit salaries.

    I have a Finance Industry background and lived in Britain for a decade before I came back to my home country, and Britain was about 5 - 10 years ahead in their realestate bubble, so it was painfully obvious to me when I arrive in Portugal that high house prices (in a country with shit salaries in European terms) was causing the country to have one of the most aged populations in the World:

    • Houses are too expensive so young people in their early career can’t afford them, hence continue living with their parents much longer (the average age to leave one’s parents’ home in Portugal is 34!!!) thus delaying starting a family.
    • Even after they start a family, to actually have a child, then need a bigger place to have a bedroom for the child, and for a second child they often need to get an even bigger place (if it’s a boy and a girl they need 3 bedrooms, or somebody is going to be sleeping in the living room) were again high realestate prices are an impediment.
    • Then there’s the problem that housing costs are so out of line with salaries that even the middle class needs TWO working adults to pay for the rent or mortgage of a one bedroom in any large city (which is usually were the best paying jobs are). Childbirth means one person being out of the workplace for at best 6 months, which isn’t too bad in Europe for people with good jobs as they get paid time off (though it affects people’s career progression), except that work legislation has in the last 3 decades been “liberalized” so that most young people don’t have an actual job - they have totally insecure gigs or at best 3 or 6 months contracts - so childbirth means losing one income from work for 6 months, leaving only ONE adult earning to pay for rent or mortgage to which now add the costs of having a child.
    • Then on top of this come the costs of raising a child.
    • Meawhile there are the risks for would be mothers and their would be babies as they get closer to their menopause as it becomes more risky for women to have children, something which certainly at least the more well educated couples consider.

    So because of high housing costs relative to incomes and insecure employment (for certain early in one’s career, for some for a lot longer), people massivelly delay just starting a family until they can earn enough to actually be able to afford their own home, then delay the having their first child until they can actually afford the time off work for one member of a couple or having climbed enough the career path that they have an actual secure job were they get paid time off AND until they can afford the costs of raising a child AND can afford to move to a house with a room for the child (or at least have a prospect of being able to do so in a few years before the child reachers their teenage years).

    So all this so that in their mid to late 30s they can have just 1 child.

    Then for the second child it’s yet more “climb the career until you can afford to raise more children” AND “earn enough to upsize your home to have one more room” and at this point people start worring about the risks for the mother and the baby of “having a child in your 40s”, plus people are getting a bit fed up with the decades of nothing but fighting (extra nasty in Portugal which has a “working long hours” culture) just to be able to get another kid

    So most people give up on having a 2nd child - the overwhelming majority of couples I know here only have 1 child.

    Remember, 2 children per person is still below the 2.4 average need to merely maintain population size.

    (Oh, and on the “funny” side, all this shit then leads to government choosing to import immigrants “because working-age population is falling” which then leads to other problems due to the higher rate of cultural misunderstanding and collisions when people with different cultures arrive in large numbers without enough time to integrate, all of which boosts the anti-immigration Far-Right)

    The solution, IMHO is two fold:

    • Build lots and lots of public housing which is sold or rented at cost. This was actually what happened in the 80s and it worked. Its what works in places like Singapore (which is a fucking Authocracy and yet doesn’t have this problem of Western “Democracies”). This attacks the problem of low supply and excessive margins on the Supply side of the Supply-Demand inballance in realestate.
    • Forbid ownership of realestate in Portugal for non-resident people or companies and locally registered companies where the controlling interest is directly or indirectly in the hands of non-residents. This is absolutelly compatible with EU regulations (and, I believe, Denmark already does it) since it does not discriminate on nationality, only residency (which means that Portuguese nationals who are non-residents get the same treatment). Also realestate tax should increase exponentially with the number of residential properties somebody owns. This attacks the problem on the Demand side of the Supply-Demand inballance in realestate.

  • They’re the Resistance Française of Gaza, except the (new) NAZIs occupying their land have been there for 7 decades instead of a mere half a decade (plus this time around Britain and the US are part of the Axis alongside the NAZIs), hence their actions are more desperate.

    Remembers those WWII films were the Resistance Française, when they caught them dished deadly justice to filthy French Colaborationists that had helped the evil NAZIs either by snitching others to them or even by acting as an auxiliary militia for the occupying NAZI forces? Remember cheering for the Resistance and feeling righteous justice from them dealing with the people who were so evil that they betrayed their own neighbours and even families to the NAZIs?

    Morally this is exactly the same situation.


  • I used to think like that until on the e-mail address I had for my lemmy.world account (an account which I left following that) I started getting e-mails in my native language from an organisation based in Tel-Aviv inviting me to attent a “learn about Israel” online course.

    This was when I was already very vocal about the actions of Israel in Gaza.

    That e-mail wasn’t public and as far as I know only server Admins have access to that stuff.

    When the largest Lemmy instance is infiltrated at the Admin level by state actors (and that’s also very clearly the case for Moderation in the main forums there, as reflected by their moderation actions with even one Moderator of the news forum being very openly Zionist in his posts elsewhere), the idea that there are bots and sockpuppets around in Lemmy trying to shift opinions for the benefit of nations and even large political forces, isn’t exactly outrageous.

    I mean, if I remember it correctly the budget of Israel’s Hasbara ops is somewhere around $1 billion a year, so plenty of money to have a few people at least part time trying to influence a place with maybe a few hundred thousand people, like Lemmy.



  • The most interesting angle on this is how it’s basically a variant of what happened in 2008 with Mortgages, smaller, but this time around it’s compounded by lots and lots of not officially admitted cost-of-living Inflation that’s not being matched by salary-Inflation.

    A crash in this specific underregulated castle of cards of the Finance Industry by itself might actually be more of a hickup than a full-blown Economic Crash, but shit like this together with the collapse of the AI bubble and all of it overcharged by the current insane Trade Policy of the Trump Administration, has the possibility of being something on the scale of the Dot Net Crash AND the 2008 Crash combined.

    “Interesting times”, in the meaning of the expression from the Chinese curse.




  • A quick look through its documentation shows that it instructs the user how to go through a subset of the instructions the original user provided (or an alternative set of instructions if using Android 11+ as there it can use a different mechanism) plus a few more, in order to run a Shizuku service as user “adb”.

    From then on, that Shizuku service can then be used by other apps to do everything the “adb” user can, including installing and updating applications.

    So I guess it could be used by something like F-Droid to go around Google’s new mechanism to close down app installs.

    For Android < 11 it’s is no more non-expert friendly than the instructions already provided by the original user, though it’s better in Android 11+ as there it’s all interacting with menus on the Android side (see here under Start Shizuku)







  • Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.comtoLemmy Shitpost@lemmy.worldJust in time
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    5 days ago

    Using materials obtained outside the Earth’s gravity well, we can make much larger ships than if we have to launch them from the surface of the Earth. Of course that requires some kind of materials processing facilities in space, which is depending on stuff like Moon bases and the years of development of materials science in low and zero-gravity environments possible in those.

    Further, the Apolo Program has most definitelly shown we can buy progress. Not “beyond the known principles of present day science” progress (so, no amount of money is going to get us FTL travel) but certainly Engineering progress (so solar sail towed asteroids, moon mining, moon-based nuclear reactors, mass drivers to push loads from the Moon surface into orbit, alternative ship designs using materials found outside the Earth’s surface and/or low weight designs such as the insuflable space stations that were at one point suggested and even test at a small scale, and so on).

    It wasn’t by chance that what I suggested was asteroid mining and Mars stations rather than interstellar travel - the money wasted in the Iraq invasion alone over the decades since could have built the infrastructure needed, to get the engineeringe experience required to be able to do the former, not the latter (as that indeed requires a kind of progress that we cannot buy).

    Instead, we have Facebook, over the counter credit derivatives and LLMs.


  • Nowadays with mass media and the internet, we get aware of much more of the stupid shit happening all over than a common person would in the Western Roman Empire because stupid shit anywhere can be brought to people’s attention everywhere quickly, and since stupid stands out it does get brought to people’s attention.

    Also real power is more centralized nowadays, also because of the speed with which information and people can travel enabling more centralised Command & Control systems.

    So I would say that a fall due to internal social and political degenrence will happen faster and look a lot more stupid to bystanders, than back in Roman Empire days. Also the density of stupid timewise is probably higher now since everything is happening faster and in a lot more places at the same time.

    That said, what’s happening in the US has been developing since at least Clinton’s time, maybe even Reagan’s, maybe longer than that - it’s just that the earlier stages which made the structural changes and created the conditions for what’s happening now, weren’t obvious to anybody but a handful of experts in some domains who of course weren’t given airtime on mass media or were deemed kooks by the rest of people when they did get airtime: any system’s eventual doom is guaranteed as soon as criticism of the structurs system itself is repressed or even de facto suppressed, though it generally takes time for it go through the stagnancy and then the internal-pillaging stages that lead to it cracking and collapsing due to becoming unable to serve most people in it.


  • Also and as somebody else pointed out, if makes sense for him to try and scare European nations so that they refrain from sending as many weapons and ammo to Ukraine because of thinking they might need those to defend themselves from Russia.

    So a sabble-rattling discourse and even the recent air-space intrusions by Russian military planes are cheap ways of trying to get the strategical gain of Ukraine receiving fewer weapons from the rest of Europe and even if those things fail he loses nothing from doing them (at this point, he’s hardly going to get in a worst situation than he already put himself in).

    It makes absolute sense to pursue a strategy where at best you gain something and at worst you lose nothing.

    Now, if the response to the Russian intrusion in European airspace had been for European nations to set up and enforce a no fly for Russia inside Ukraine, that would’ve definitelly been a loss for him (at the very least the rest of Europe would protect Western Ukraine from Russian drones and air assets, freeing Ukranian assets to be used elsewhere), but the leaderships of European nations have yet to show a willingness or capability to act decisivelly like that as a group: even the help with weapons and ammo took ages to get going properly, was riddled with “red lines” (like “no tanks”, then “no jets”, then “no long range cruise missiles” and who could forget the whole “can’t be used against Russian territory” artificial limitation) and there was a lot of feet-dragging, especially from Germany) so actual direct intervention even if only with air assets doesn’t seem likely as response to “mere” Russian air space intrusions and unconventional warfare that can be denied (cyber attacks, election interference, support for extreme political forces, cutting of undersea cables and so on).


  • Ukraine has developed new long range attack drones that can strike deep into Russia, opening up all of their industry, and particularly their oil refining capabilities, to attack. Russia is so big that they simply cannot defend all of it from aerial attack, and Ukraine’s intel is good enough that they can continually shift their focus to wherever Russia isn’t defending.

    It is especially delicious how Russia’s greatest advantage in this war - their size relative to Ukraine, hence significantly higher manpower and resources than Ukraine, as well as territorial depth that let them have important military facilities beyond the range of Ukraine, has been turned by Ukraine into one of Russia’s worst strategical weaknesses.

    Anywhere in Ukraine can be hit by Russia, even with shitty shit drones like Shaheed, so Ukranians adapted, plus comparativelly to Russia their’s is a smaller country hence with fewer sites of strategical value, which means having enough AA to take down most of Russia’s missiles and long-range drones is actually possible, which is why Russia’s ever larger mass attacks of late have had so much less effect than smaller attacks did at the start of the Invasion.

    Meanwhile Russia’s strategically important infrastructure is all over a large country, so they would have to deploy AA to defend every individual site and they don’t have enough of the kind of AA that can successfully deal with low-flying drones (it doesn’t matter how good their coverage with longer range systems like the S-500 is when that weapon system is not suitable to deal with Cessna-152s converted into drones flying at low altitude plus each missile costs many times more than each of those drones).

    In this, Ukraine’s strategy is masterful, IMHO.


  • Most of that stuff is automatable - except the bit about activating Developer mode and USB Debugging on the device (steps 3 to 6) which only needs to be done once per device - so I expect we will soon see several nice GUI tools that automate the rest and eventually we might even just see stuff that talks directly to the phone over USB via libusb and using the same protocol as ADB, so installing the Android Platform Tools won’t at all be needed.

    But yeah, at this point it requires people to at the very least be familiar with using the command line.